Phil Tetlock is a Professor at The University of Pennsylvania and Co-Leader of the Good Judgment Project. Over more than 20 years, he has mapped the accuracy of more than 82,000 predictions by nearly 300 experts. Phil discussed how the Good Judgment Project and the IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity) forecasting tournament are working both to improve individual judgment and to identify new ways to tap into the “wisdom of the crowd.”
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